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Report: Khamenei Has Contingency Plan to Flee Tehran for Moscow if Forces Defect

An intelligence assessment links any escape to potential security force defections, with Moscow identified as the likely refuge.

Overview

  • A Western intelligence assessment shared with The Times says Khamenei has mapped a fallback escape to Russia if desertions occur, portraying him as weakened and survival‑focused after last year's 12‑day war with Israel.
  • The plan would move him out of Tehran with a tight group of up to 20 insiders, reportedly including his son and presumed heir, Mojtaba Khamenei.
  • Preparations described in the report include plotted exit routes and mobilizing overseas cash and properties, drawing on assets linked to Setad that a 2013 Reuters investigation estimated at about $95 billion.
  • Protests over economic hardship continue across Iranian cities, with demonstrators alleging IRGC, Basij, police and army units have used live fire, tear gas and water cannons.
  • In weekend remarks reported by two outlets, Khamenei called economic grievances “just” but warned there would be no leniency for what he labeled rioters.