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Renewed Israel-Iran Strikes Send Oil Prices Soaring and Heighten Supply Risks

Oil benchmarks jumped after fresh air and missile attacks, raising concerns that a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could trigger wider market shocks.

A missile is launched during an air defence drill in an undisclosed location in Iran, in this handout image obtained on January 12, 2025. Iranian Army/WANA (West Asia News Agency)/Handout via REUTERS ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS PICTURE WAS PROVIDED BY A THIRD PARTY./File Photo
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Overview

  • Israel launched a new wave of airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear sites, and Iran responded with drones and missiles targeting the region.
  • Brent crude futures rose more than 7 percent while West Texas Intermediate spiked as much as 14 percent on volatility linked to the conflict.
  • Officials warn that Iran could disrupt chokepoints such as the Strait of Hormuz, where about one-fifth of global oil supply transits daily.
  • The International Energy Agency has signaled readiness to tap emergency reserves and OPEC+ nations are monitoring developments to stabilize supply.
  • Market reactions include a global equities decline, a surge in gold prices, and concerns that higher fuel costs could feed into inflation.