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Refugees Feel Less Welcome as Record Emigration Grows in Germany

Analysts warn the twin trends could worsen skills shortages, curbing growth.

Overview

  • New DIW panel data show the share of refugees who feel welcome fell from 84% in 2017 to 65% in 2023, while concern about xenophobia rose to 54%.
  • About 88% of refugees who report discrimination cite origin, language or names as reasons, with disadvantages noted in housing (32%), job search (18%) and at work (14%).
  • Official 2024 figures record roughly 1.694 million arrivals and 1.264 million departures, including an unprecedented 270,000 emigrants overall and a net outflow of about 80,879 German nationals.
  • Young adults lead the outflow, with 75,559 people aged 18–29 leaving in 2024; job opportunities are the top stated motive at 58%, and popular destinations include Switzerland (about 21,000) and Austria (over 13,000).
  • Labor institutes report widespread skills shortages and estimate Germany needs roughly 400,000 net migrants each year, while researchers note many emigrants eventually return in a pattern of “brain circulation.”