Overview

• A June 26 YouGov mega-poll projects Reform UK would win 271 of the 650 seats, outpacing Labour’s 178 and signaling the prospect of a hung parliament.
• The Conservative Party would secure just 46 seats in the same poll, marking its worst projected result and relegating it behind the Liberal Democrats.
• Reform has consolidated its rise with by-election victories in Runcorn and Helsby and a string of wins in rural English constituencies.
• Reuters research shows more than 80 former Conservative candidates, donors and staff have defected to Reform UK since last year’s general election defeat.
• Reform’s manifesto pledges include scrapping green energy subsidies, fast-tracking North Sea oil and gas licences and freezing non-essential immigration measures.