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2h ago

Reform UK Poised for Major Gains in Local Elections, Leading National Polls

Nigel Farage’s party is set to challenge Labour and Conservatives with expected council and mayoral wins, as Labour prepares immigration reforms and Tories consider local coalitions.

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Overview

  • Reform UK leads national polling at 25%, surpassing Labour at 23% and Conservatives at 21%, marking a significant shift in voter sentiment.
  • The party is projected to gain 400-450 council seats in the May 1 local elections, primarily in the Midlands and North, while Conservatives may lose up to 525 seats.
  • Labour is fast-tracking an immigration white paper to reduce legal migration, aiming to counter Reform UK’s populist appeal on migration issues.
  • Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch has ruled out a national coalition with Reform UK but has left the door open for local-level alliances in councils without overall control.
  • The Runcorn and Helsby by-election, triggered by the resignation of Labour’s Mike Amesbury, is expected to be a tight race between Labour and Reform UK.