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Reform UK Poised for Major Gains in England’s Local Elections

Labour and Conservatives brace for losses as Reform UK capitalizes on voter discontent over pensions, immigration, and public services.

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BERVERLEY, ENGLAND - APRIL 25: Leader of the Reform Party Nigel Farage meets and speaks with the public while on a walkabout on April 25, 2025 in Beverley, England. Luke Campbell is the Reform Party Candidate for Mayor of Hull and East Yorkshire, being contested on May 1st, 2025. (Photo by Ryan Jenkinson/Getty Images)
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Overview

  • England’s May 1 local elections will decide 1,641 council seats, six mayoralties, and the Runcorn & Helsby parliamentary by-election.
  • Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, is projected to win hundreds of council seats and challenge Labour in traditional strongholds.
  • Labour faces backlash for cutting winter fuel payments for most pensioners, a key issue influencing voter sentiment.
  • Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch has ruled out a national coalition with Reform UK but allows local-level pacts in councils without clear control.
  • Labour plans to unveil a post-election immigration white paper aimed at curbing legal migration, a move seen as a response to Reform’s rise.