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Reform UK Opens 13-Point Lead Over Labour After Conferences, Opinium Finds

An immediate post-Liverpool snapshot reports Reform at 34% versus Labour on 21% following poor public ratings for Labour’s conference.

Overview

  • Nigel Farage leads Keir Starmer 31% to 26% on the best prime minister question in the Opinium poll.
  • Half of voters said Labour had a bad conference, and a third viewed Starmer’s speech negatively with 23% positive.
  • Reform rose two points to a record 34% with the firm as Labour slipped one point to 21%.
  • Labour, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats made Farage and Reform a centerpiece of their conferences, a strategy critics say amplified Reform’s visibility.
  • Starmer labeled Reform’s deportation plans “racist,” drawing internal concern from figures including Sadiq Khan about the language used.