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Reform UK Leads Polls in Runcorn By-Election Following Labour MP’s Resignation

Labour faces a tough challenge to retain its seat as Reform UK gains momentum despite internal party disputes.

  • Labour MP Mike Amesbury resigned after being convicted for assaulting a constituent, triggering the Runcorn and Helsby by-election.
  • A Lord Ashcroft poll predicts Reform UK will secure 40% of the vote, overtaking Labour, which is projected to drop to 35%.
  • Labour has selected local councillor and teacher Karen Shore as its candidate, emphasizing her community ties.
  • Reform UK's rise is attributed to disaffected Conservative voters and low turnout expectations among Labour supporters.
  • Internal conflicts within Reform UK, including the suspension of MP Rupert Lowe, have not significantly impacted the party’s chances.
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