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2h ago

Reform UK Hits 35% in New Poll as Labour Drops to 20, Stirring Tory Overtures Toward Farage

Conservative voices now tout cooperation despite leaders ruling out a national pact.

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BIRMINGHAM, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 05: Leader of Reform UK Nigel Farage addresses delegates towards the end of day one of the Reform UK party conference at National Exhibition Centre on September 05, 2025 in Birmingham, England. Members of Reform UK gather at the NEC Birmingham for the Party's two-day conference. (Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)
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Overview

  • A City AM/Freshwater Strategy poll taken Oct 3–5 shows Reform UK on 35%, Labour on 20%, the Conservatives on 18% and the Liberal Democrats on 14%, marking the series’ highest share yet for Reform.
  • Freshwater-based seat estimates project Reform winning a large Commons majority, with Labour on 74 seats, the Conservatives on 20 and the Liberal Democrats on 54.
  • An Opinium survey conducted after Labour’s conference also had Reform leading 34% to 21% for Labour, indicating the upstart party’s gains have held across pollsters.
  • Keir Starmer’s approval is at net -40 in the Freshwater poll after he called Reform’s immigration proposals “racist,” while Nigel Farage registers at net -3.
  • Tory MP Andrew Rosindell urged working with Reform and said he could serve alongside Farage, Robert Jenrick declined to rule out a deal saying it is not a priority, and Farage aide Gawain Towler floated a post‑election merger scenario that a Reform spokesperson dismissed, as the party touts membership near 250,000.