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8h ago

Reform UK Claims Momentum in Caerphilly By‑Election With Poll Putting Party Ahead

Reform UK highlights a data-driven, open-door campaign in Caerphilly to challenge Labour's long-held seat.

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Overview

  • A Survation poll reported by Express puts Reform UK on 42%, ahead of Plaid Cymru on 38% and Labour on 12%, offering a limited snapshot rather than a definitive result.
  • Caerphilly has returned Labour MPs at Westminster in every election since 1918, underscoring the symbolic weight of any upset in the by-election.
  • GB News reports Reform is running a professionalised operation with AI vote-share projections and real-time canvassing data guiding targeting on the ground.
  • Local candidate Llŷr Powell says the party aims to take control of the Welsh Government, presenting the by-election as part of a broader push for influence.
  • Supporters and commentators cast the contest as a test of Labour’s resilience ahead of May’s major elections, though broader implications depend on the result.