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Reform Party Leads National Polls Ahead of England’s Local Elections

As vote counting nears, Reform edges ahead in polling, with Labour and Conservatives trailing in a pivotal test of party leadership and public sentiment.

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Polls suggest Labour is about to lose councils, mayoralties and the Runcorn by-election to Reform
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Overview

  • National polls as of April 20 place Reform at 25%, Labour at 23%, and Conservatives at 21%, reflecting a shift in public support since late 2024.
  • The May 1 elections will decide 1,641 council seats, six mayoral contests, and a parliamentary by-election in Runcorn & Helsby.
  • The Runcorn & Helsby by-election, triggered by Labour MP Mike Amesbury’s resignation, is expected to be highly competitive, with Reform aiming for a potential upset.
  • These elections mark the first major electoral test for Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch since assuming their roles.
  • Vote counting begins at 10 pm on May 1, with key overnight results anticipated from Runcorn & Helsby, four mayoral races, and Northumberland council.