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Reform Holds Poll Lead as Farage Intensifies Media Push and Greens Rise

Labour questions a ceiling on Farage’s support following by‑election misses.

Overview

  • Reform staged three consecutive press conferences during the school half-term, with Farage and his team fielding extensive questions to keep control of the news agenda.
  • Farage is set to deliver a major economic policy speech on Monday, with Richard Tice scheduled for a Bloomberg lecture two days later, in a bid to shore up perceived weaknesses on the economy.
  • National polling has settled at roughly 30% for Reform, and the party fell short in the Hamilton and Caerphilly by-elections, prompting renewed debate over whether its growth has stalled.
  • Reform insiders insist their proposals are now properly costed after Farage’s headline migrant-benefit savings plan collapsed when exemptions for about 4 million EU nationals emerged.
  • Labour figures express unease over Reform’s sustained visibility as the Greens increase support, though some in Labour argue Farage’s novelty could fade and urge a stronger focus on Labour’s own offer.