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Reeves Prepares Voters for Tax Rises in Pre-Budget Speech as Fiscal Hole Widens

Her Downing Street remarks set expectations for difficult choices to restore fiscal headroom following forecasts of a £20–30 billion shortfall.

Overview

  • Rachel Reeves will frame the Nov. 26 Budget around fairness and opportunity with priorities of protecting the NHS, reducing national debt and improving the cost of living.
  • No 10 has declined to re-commit to Labour’s pledge not to raise income tax, VAT or National Insurance for working people, and the Treasury says it will not comment on tax speculation.
  • The Resolution Foundation’s widely discussed idea to shift 2p from employee National Insurance to income tax is estimated to raise about £6 billion while largely shielding most employees’ pay packets.
  • AJ Bell analysis suggests pensioners would be hit by such a switch because they do not pay NI, with illustrative increases of roughly £450 at £35,000 income and about £1,049 at £65,000.
  • Independent forecasters say restoring fiscal headroom could require around £22 billion, with reported options under consideration including higher council tax bands, a mansion tax, extended income tax threshold freezes and changes to pension tax relief.