Overview
- Rachel Reeves told Sky News she is considering both higher taxes and lower spending, her first public confirmation ahead of the Budget.
- Independent forecasts suggest a shortfall ranging from roughly £30bn to as much as £50bn, driven by weaker growth and dropped welfare savings.
- The IMF now expects UK inflation to be the highest in the G7 in 2025 and 2026, even as it nudged this year’s growth outlook higher.
- Tax specialists urged raising a major levy or broadening bases, such as VAT, rather than multiple small measures that add complexity.
- Business groups warned against new burdens on firms, while Reeves cited austerity, Brexit and the 2022 mini‑budget as factors weighing on productivity and the public finances.