Reds’ Odds to Sign Kyle Schwarber Put at 15% as Projections Favor Phillies

Cincinnati’s path hinges on a competitive bid despite hometown ties, with Great American Ball Park viewed as a draw.

Overview

MLB.com's Mark Feinsand now estimates the Reds have roughly a 15% chance to land Schwarber, slightly higher than a month ago.
Feinsand says the decision is expected to come down to money, noting Cincinnati is unlikely to be the top bidder but could contend with a strong offer.
Schwarber’s appeal is fueled by elite power production, including 56 home runs in 2025 and 187 over the past four seasons.
Newsweek highlights projections that favor a return to the Phillies, including a $160 million contract forecast by The Athletic’s Jim Bowden and a separate prediction from FanSided.
Cincinnati’s case includes Schwarber’s Middletown, Ohio roots and the hitter-friendly dimensions of Great American Ball Park, as the club seeks a middle-of-the-order bat.