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11h ago

Red Sox Expected to Move On From Lucas Giolito, According to Media Projections

Analysts cite a late elbow issue plus a surplus of young pitching.

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TORONTO, CANADA - SEPTEMBER 10: A detail view of a New York Mets hat during a game against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on September 10, 2024 in Toronto, Canada.
BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS - SEPTEMBER 17: Starting pitcher Lucas Giolito #54 of the Boston Red Sox throws in the first inning against the Athletics at Fenway Park on September 17, 2025 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jaiden Tripi/Getty Images)

Overview

  • Bleacher Report’s Zachary Rymer, via Newsweek, predicts Boston and Giolito will split after a 140-inning trigger converted a $14 million club option into a mutual option.
  • Sporting News relays FanSided speculation that he will not return and states his deal has expired, projecting free agency when the 2026 period opens.
  • Newsweek cites Spotrac indicating a two-year, $38.5 million contract with a mutual option for next season, highlighting conflicting reports on his status.
  • Giolito posted a 3.41 ERA across 26 starts in 2025 before a September elbow problem sidelined him for the playoffs.
  • Commentary points to Boston’s growing stable of homegrown arms, such as Connelly Early and other prospects, as a reason the club may pivot from retaining him.