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Record Marine Heatwaves Raise Alarm Over Potential Tipping Point

Mediterranean sea temperatures remain record high against model projections, prompting urgent calls for expanded monitoring.

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Overview

  • Sea surface temperatures in July 2025 linger near historic highs with Mediterranean waters up to 5°C above seasonal norms.
  • Studies published in Science confirm that 2023 heatwaves set new global records by lasting four times longer than average, covering 96% of the ocean surface.
  • Reduced cloud cover, weakened winds, ocean current anomalies and a warming El Niño were identified as key drivers of last year’s extreme marine heatwaves.
  • Emerging data show exponential ocean heat accumulation that outpaces climate model predictions and signals a possible irreversible shift in ocean–atmosphere dynamics.
  • Some scientists caution that limited multi-year records make it premature to confirm a permanent tipping point, underscoring the need for continued monitoring and emissions reductions.