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Record Halloween Spending Forecast as Retailers Push Deals and Shoppers Adjust

Price pressure from inflation, tariffs, cocoa shortages is reshaping how families prepare for Halloween.

Overview

  • The National Retail Federation projects a record $13.1 billion in Halloween spending, averaging about $114.45 per person.
  • NRF expects roughly $3.9 billion on candy, $4.3 billion on costumes, and $4.2 billion on decorations, each up double digits from last year.
  • Candy costs are up about 8% with tariffs and a cocoa shortage cited as key drivers, and costume prices are drawing consumer complaints.
  • Shoppers are turning to DIY outfits, resale or rentals, bulk candy buys, and pooled celebrations to stretch budgets.
  • Retailers are leaning on promotions, with Walmart saying it held candy pack prices, plus deals at WinCo, Target, Amazon, and many costumes under $30 at big-box stores.