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Record Early Turnout Pushes Democrats Toward House Majority

High early voting that skews toward registered Democrats raises the odds of a Democratic takeover of the House while leaving the Senate outcome dependent on a handful of tight state races.

Overview

  • By Nov. 2 more than 50 million Americans had voted early, a record level reported by multiple election trackers and university researchers.
  • State data show early ballots in places that record party registration tilt toward Democrats, though analysts warn Election Day turnout could benefit Republicans.
  • Polls and aggregators moved toward projecting a Democratic pickup of the House, with sites such as Decision Desk HQ assigning strong odds to a flip.
  • Control of the Senate remains uncertain and likely will be decided in a small set of razor‑close contests, including Michigan, Texas and Kansas.
  • The campaign has been intensely polarized and expensive, with roughly $11 billion in advertising, last‑minute rallies by President Trump and isolated intra‑party fractures such as a high‑profile Michigan endorsement switch.