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Record Atlantic Sea Temperatures Lead Forecasters to Predict Major Increase in Hurricane Activity

  • Colorado State University raised their estimate for tropical storms in the Atlantic hurricane season to 18 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major storms.
  • Four tropical or subtropical storms have already formed this season, and there is a 50% chance of a major hurricane hitting the United States.
  • The warm Atlantic waters are due to a weakening Bermuda High and reduced easterly trade winds, allowing the sea surface waters to warm to record levels.
  • The presence of El Niño may weaken storms, but the warm Atlantic temperatures could counteract it.
  • There is a 25% chance of a major East Coast hit from a hurricane this season.
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