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RCEM Estimates 818 Excess Deaths Linked to Scotland’s A&E Delays Last Year

The college paired the estimate with a pre‑election plan pressing parties to overhaul patient flow and staffing to reduce dangerous waits.

Overview

  • RCEM reports 76,510 people waited more than 12 hours in Scottish emergency departments last year, up by 20,432 from the previous year.
  • Of those prolonged waits, 58,906 involved patients awaiting admission to a ward, highlighting hospital flow bottlenecks.
  • Using its standard mortality ratio of one death per 72 patients waiting eight to 12 hours, RCEM estimates 818 excess deaths linked to long delays.
  • The college’s Scotland manifesto urges investment in social care, renewed focus on 12‑hour and four‑hour targets, and sufficient staffing to end overcrowding.
  • Health Secretary Neil Gray acknowledged harm from long waits and cited progress in July 2025 along with a £200m package, expanded frailty teams and a 21% rise in emergency consultants, as opposition parties condemned the SNP’s record.