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RBI Opens Review of Inflation Target, Seeks Comments on 4% Goal and Framework

Public feedback will inform the RBI’s recommendations to the government ahead of a March 2026 decision on the next five-year target.

Overview

  • The Reserve Bank of India released a discussion paper on August 21 and invited emailed submissions from stakeholders and the public through September 18, 2025.
  • Consultation questions cover whether to target headline or core inflation, keep the 4% objective, revise or remove the 2–6% tolerance band, or shift to a range-only approach.
  • The paper defends the 4% anchor and prioritising headline CPI, warning that raising the target could be read as diluting the framework and noting most inflation-targeting countries use headline inflation.
  • RBI flags geo-economic uncertainty, commodity price swings, climate-related food shocks and payment-system changes as reasons to reassess targeting mechanics.
  • After consolidating responses, the RBI will provide its views to the government, which must set the CPI target under Section 45ZA by end-March 2026.