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RBA Minutes Point to More Rate Cuts, Pace to Be Set by Data

Minutes signal a meeting-by-meeting approach as the board seeks to keep inflation on target without sacrificing full employment.

Overview

  • The board cut the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.60% at the August 11–12 meeting, citing progress toward the 2–3% inflation target.
  • Policymakers said some further reduction in the cash rate is likely over the coming year, with the trajectory not yet determined.
  • The minutes outline cases for either gradual or faster easing, depending on incoming inflation and labour-market readings.
  • Markets and major banks largely expect the next cut in November, with pricing and forecasts pointing to 3.35% and a September move seen as unlikely.
  • The RBA will continue letting government bond holdings run off at maturity, while noting a still‑tight labour market, recovering demand, elevated insolvencies and global tariff risks.