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RBA Minutes Point to More Rate Cuts Ahead, With Pace Set by Incoming Data

Officials describe policy as still restrictive despite progress on inflation.

An ibis bird perches next to the Reserve Bank of Australia headquarters in central Sydney, Australia February 6, 2018. REUTERS/Daniel Munoz/File Photo

Overview

  • The board lowered the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.60% at its Aug. 11–12 meeting.
  • Minutes state some further reduction in the cash rate is likely over the coming year, with decisions taken meeting by meeting.
  • Policymakers cited a labor market that is still a little tight, inflation nearer the midpoint, and recovering private demand as reasons for caution.
  • The document leaves scope for either a gradual path or a quicker series of cuts if the jobs outlook weakens or global risks shift.
  • Money markets put less than a one‑third chance on a Sept. 30 move, and CreditorWatch reports insolvencies remained elevated in July.