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RBA Minutes Point to More Cuts, Data-Driven Pace After Cash Rate Trim to 3.60%

Minutes from August underscore a data‑driven pace that weighs further easing against inflation goals alongside labour‑market tightness.

An ibis bird perches next to the Reserve Bank of Australia headquarters in central Sydney, Australia February 6, 2018. REUTERS/Daniel Munoz/File Photo
Image
The Reserve Bank has released the minutes of its latest meeting when it reduced interest rates. Photo: Aap Image/AAP PHOTOS
Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock remains cagey on the timing of the next interest rate cut. Photo: Dan Himbrechts/AAP PHOTOS

Overview

  • August minutes say preserving full employment and stable inflation will likely require additional easing over the coming year.
  • The board will decide the pace meeting by meeting, noting cases for both a gradual path and quicker moves based on CPI and jobs data.
  • Inflation has eased toward target, with headline at 2.1% in the June quarter and trimmed mean at 2.7%, while labour conditions remain somewhat tight.
  • Investors largely expect no move in September and lean toward a November cut, after rates were lowered to a 3.60% cash rate in August.
  • The RBA left its bond rundown strategy unchanged by letting holdings mature, as CreditorWatch reported near‑record insolvencies in July.