Overview

• With 523 points to Nicolo Bulega’s 487, Toprak Razgatlioglu can secure the championship as early as Race 2 if he outscores his rival by 26 points across the round.
• Razgatlioglu arrives on a 21-race podium streak and has 12 Estoril podiums and four wins, underscoring his status as the favorite.
• Bulega revived his bid with a Sunday double at Aragon and sits one win shy of equalling Pierfrancesco ‘Frankie’ Chili’s 17 WorldSBK victories.
• Ducati’s supporting cast—Alvaro Bautista, Danilo Petrucci and Sam Lowes—are tipped as potential front-runners who could influence the points swing.
• Forecast swings at the Atlantic-side circuit are flagged as a key variable, with sudden weather shifts seen as capable of reshaping race outcomes.