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Rays Need One Win in Bronx to Clinch AL East

A single Tampa Bay victory would secure a Wild Card bye and home-field advantage for the playoffs.

Overview

  • The Rays arrived in New York with a six-game lead and can clinch the AL East with one win in the four-game series at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday through Thursday, a scenario reported across outlets on Monday.
  • New York has named Carlos Rodón and Max Fried to start Tuesday’s doubleheader with Gerrit Cole and Cam Schlittler slated for the following games while Tampa Bay plans Nick Martinez and Drew Rasmussen for the twin bill and Ian Seymour and Freddy Peralta afterward.
  • Projection models put the Yankees’ chance to overtake Tampa Bay at roughly 1 percent, making New York overwhelmingly likely to enter the postseason as a top American League Wild Card team.
  • The Yankees face roster stress from Aaron Judge’s right calf issue and heavy bullpen workloads that could affect their ability to force a sweep or to compete deep into October.
  • Tampa Bay enters the series on a hot run after an 8-1 homestand and a 39-18 record since July 20, with one division win giving the Rays their first AL East title since 2021 and a direct path to later-round home games.