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Ray Dalio Warns U.S. Polarization and a Fiscal ‘Debt Bomb’ Could Lead to Power Struggles

He cites a roughly 125% debt-to-GDP burden as a potential trigger if investor confidence breaks.

Overview

  • In an interview aired by Bloomberg and reported Friday, the Bridgewater founder said U.S. conflicts risk becoming “tests of power” unless the country coalesces around shared interests.
  • Dalio warned that a high debt load could set off a “debt bomb” if buyers lose faith in U.S. fiscal discipline, pushing up borrowing costs or forcing painful budget cuts.
  • He described overlapping financial, technology, geopolitical and military contests that he believes are intensifying domestic strains.
  • A Gallup survey cited in the coverage found 80% of Americans viewed the nation as greatly divided, underscoring his concern about social cohesion.
  • Dalio, who has a history of early risk calls, has urged a combination of tax increases and spending restraint to address what he calls a deficit-and-debt bomb.