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Ravens–Chiefs at Arrowhead Carries 1-3 Stakes for Both 1-2 Teams

The loser faces long playoff odds based on NFL history.

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Baltimore Ravens tight end Isaiah Likely, left, catches a pass with his toe out of bounds as Kansas City Chiefs linebacker Nick Bolton (32) and linebacker Drue Tranquill (23) defend as time time expires in the second half of an NFL football game Thursday, Sept. 5, 2024, in Kansas City, Mo. The Chiefs won 27-20.(AP Photo/Ed Zurga)
FILE - Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson, center, and Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, right, embrace after an NFL football game, Sept. 28, 2020, in Baltimore. Past NFL MVPs Jackson and Mahomes will face each other in the AFC championship game in Baltimore on Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024. (AP Photo/Gail Burton, File)

Overview

  • Baltimore and Kansas City enter Sunday at 1-2, and ESPN research notes only 11% of teams that start 1-3 reach the postseason in the Super Bowl era.
  • Lamar Jackson is 0-3 at Arrowhead and 1-4 head-to-head vs. Patrick Mahomes, but he says past results are irrelevant as he focuses on this season.
  • Jackson’s early-season line includes an NFL-best passer rating (141.8), nine touchdown passes and 9.6 yards per completion, with the Ravens leading at 37 points per game.
  • Baltimore’s protection is under the microscope after Jackson was sacked seven times in Monday’s loss to Detroit, with Steve Spagnuolo’s varied pressures looming.
  • Kansas City’s passing game has been thinner with Rashee Rice suspended and Xavier Worthy missing two games, and Mahomes’ 669 passing yards and 59% completions are down even as he leads QBs with 125 rushing yards.