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Ravens, Steelers Meet With AFC North Lead and Playoff Odds on the Line

Playoff models show the winner's chances jump dramatically in a rivalry that often hinges on one score.

Overview

  • Kickoff is Sunday at 1 p.m. ET at M&T Bank Stadium on CBS and Paramount+, with Baltimore favored by about 5.5 points.
  • Lamar Jackson practiced fully Friday after an ankle scare and has no injury designation, calling the matchup "definitely a playoff game."
  • Aaron Rodgers is playing through a broken left wrist and has struggled recently, though he returned to full practice late in the week.
  • Projections indicate big swings: the Ravens’ playoff odds rise to about 79% with a win (32% with a loss), while the Steelers’ move to roughly 66% with a win (18% with a loss).
  • Key factors cited include Baltimore leaning on Derrick Henry after Pittsburgh allowed 249 rushing yards last week, the Steelers’ pass rush and red-zone defense led by T.J. Watt, and Baltimore’s need to clean up recent turnovers.