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Rare Severe Weather Outbreak Expected in Upper Midwest on April 28

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a rare Day 3 Moderate Risk, warning of strong tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds across a densely populated region.

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categorical outlook us monday april 28 2025
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Overview

  • The SPC's Day 3 Moderate Risk covers southeastern Minnesota, northeastern Iowa, and southwestern Wisconsin, marking the first such designation for the region since 2011.
  • Forecasters predict two storm rounds: a morning hail event in northern/central Minnesota and afternoon supercells capable of intense tornadoes transitioning into an evening squall line.
  • Over 50 million people are under severe weather alerts, with enhanced risk areas stretching from eastern Kansas to northern Minnesota and Michigan's Upper Peninsula.
  • Key transportation routes, including Interstates 35, 80, and 90, and major airports like MSP and DSM, could face significant disruptions due to the storms.
  • The severe weather system will continue eastward on April 29-30, bringing threats to central Texas and upstate New York.