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Rams-Seahawks Will Decide NFC West Leader With Season’s Biggest Odds Swing

With a Week 16 rematch still ahead, simulations indicate Sunday’s result will reshape the division race.

Overview

  • Both teams enter 7-2 for Sunday at SoFi Stadium, where the winner takes sole NFC West lead as Seattle currently holds the divisional tiebreaker.
  • SportsLine projects the winner’s division odds near 70% and the loser’s in the mid-20s, labeling it the season’s biggest swing game, with Los Angeles a 3-point favorite.
  • The Athletic’s model has the Rams at 61% to win the West entering the week, rising to 78% with a Rams win (Seattle to 18%) or falling to 33% if the Seahawks win, which would lift Seattle to 61%.
  • The teams mirror each other with top-five scoring offense and defense, four-game win streaks, and no time spent trailing since Week 6.
  • Key matchups feature L.A.’s second-ranked third-down and red-zone defense against Seattle’s top-7 red-zone offense and league-best net yards per pass on the fewest attempts.