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Raiders’ Surprise 3-0 Start Faces Skepticism From Oddsmakers

Oddsmakers give the takeaway-driven Raiders long playoff odds despite their 3-0 record with the Chiefs visiting on Sunday to test whether the run can hold up.

Overview

  • Las Vegas arrived at a 3-0 record after finishing last in 2025 and installing Klint Kubiak as head coach with Kirk Cousins the Week 1 starter.
  • The Raiders lead the NFL through three weeks with nine takeaways and a +5 turnover differential, a statistical edge that has directly produced game-changing possessions and points.
  • Those turnover gains have come against an easy early slate, as the three teams Las Vegas beat had a combined 1-5 record in other games.
  • Oddsmakers treat the team skeptically, listing Las Vegas at about +160 to make the playoffs while the Bills, 49ers, Chiefs and Vikings carry much shorter postseason odds; sportsbooks have set the Chiefs as roughly a 4 to 4.5-point favorite in Las Vegas and analysts are split on picks.
  • Sunday’s Chiefs at Raiders game is widely framed as the first meaningful real-world test that could change public perception and betting markets if Kansas City exposes regression in the Raiders’ turnover luck.