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Rachel Reeves Faces Tough Fiscal Decisions as Budget Constraints Tighten

The Chancellor's fiscal headroom has reportedly vanished, forcing potential tax hikes or spending cuts ahead of the Spring Statement.

  • The Office for Budget Responsibility's initial forecasts suggest that the UK's £9.9 billion fiscal headroom has been erased due to low economic growth, higher borrowing costs, and persistent interest rates.
  • Chancellor Rachel Reeves is under pressure to announce measures to balance the budget, including potential tax increases or spending cuts, while adhering to her 'iron-clad' fiscal rules.
  • Options under consideration include extending the freeze on income tax bands, broad spending cuts, or delaying immediate adjustments by promising future reductions in expenditure.
  • Economists expect the OBR to downgrade growth forecasts for 2024 and 2025, with projections falling closer to 0.7% and 1.3% respectively, down from earlier estimates of 1.1% and 2%.
  • Criticism has emerged over past fiscal decisions, such as the increase in employer National Insurance contributions, which some argue has stifled investment and job creation.
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