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Quinnipiac Poll Shows Shapiro Far Ahead in Early 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Matchups

The survey records a 60 percent job-approval rating for Gov. Josh Shapiro.

Overview

  • Shapiro leads Treasurer Stacy Garrity 55% to 39% and State Sen. Doug Mastriano 56% to 39% in hypothetical 2026 races.
  • Voters rate Shapiro 60% approve to 28% disapprove, with a 58% favorable and 28% unfavorable image.
  • Name recognition is low for Garrity, as 73% say they have not heard enough, while Mastriano is viewed 23% favorable, 35% unfavorable and 41% unsure.
  • The Quinnipiac survey polled 1,579 registered voters in Pennsylvania from Sept. 25–29 with a margin of error of ±3.3 points.
  • In a separate hypothetical, Shapiro leads Vice President J.D. Vance in Pennsylvania 53% to 43%.