Overview

• Quinnipiac finds Mikie Sherrill leading Jack Ciattarelli 49% to 41% among likely voters, with Libertarian and Socialist Workers candidates at 1% each.
• The poll surveyed 1,238 likely voters from Sept. 11–15 and carries a margin of error of ±3.9 percentage points.
• Independents split 45% for Sherrill to 41% for Ciattarelli, and in a head‑to‑head test Sherrill leads 51% to 42%.
• Taxes rank as the top issue for 30% of likely voters, and both campaigns have launched TV ads highlighting affordability and rising electricity costs.
• Ciattarelli is stressing New Jersey roots and linking Sherrill to Gov. Phil Murphy, while Sherrill ties him to President Trump; their first debate is set for Sept. 21 ahead of the Nov. 4 election.