Overview

• Most areas enjoy a mainly dry, comfortable weekend, with hotter 80s to near 90 across the South and a fall-like cool spell in parts of the Northeast, including frost potential in interior New England.
• Forecasts raise rain and storm chances from Monday through midweek as moisture increases and a stalled front or upper-level low moves in, with some locales targeting inch-scale totals.
• Western Pennsylvania flags Tuesday and Thursday as Impact Days for widespread rain, while central Indiana, Kansas City, Detroit and the Tri-Cities also expect multiple rounds of showers and a gradual cooldown.
• Drought context features prominently, with southeastern Michigan marked abnormally dry by the U.S. Drought Monitor and several regions running rainfall deficits that make next week’s precipitation beneficial.
• Persistent northeast winds keep a moderate rip current risk along Atlantic beaches, and Tropical Storm Gabrielle is forecast to strengthen over the central Atlantic and pass east of Bermuda without a U.S. land threat.