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2mo ago

Quiet Kickoff to 2025 Atlantic Season as CSU Upholds Active Storm Outlook

Forecasts call for 17 named storms, nine hurricanes, four major hurricanes based on warmer sea surface temperatures combined with neutral Pacific patterns.

A hurricane is seen from space.
Keith and his wife Angel, check on their sailboat that ended up on the sidewalk near Sarasota Bay after Hurricane Milton made landfall in Sarasota on Oct. 10, 2024. (Carline Jean/South Florida Sun Sentinel)
This graphic from weathermodels.com, based on NOAA data, illustrates the degree to which water temperatures in parts of the Atlantic hurricane basin are warmer than normal.
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Overview

  • The Atlantic hurricane season began on June 1 and has produced no named storms as of June 11.
  • The National Hurricane Center does not expect any tropical cyclone formation in the next seven days.
  • Colorado State University’s updated June 11 forecast maintains predictions of 17 named storms, nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes.
  • Projected activity is about 125% of the 1991–2020 average, driven by warmer-than-normal waters in the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
  • CSU researchers estimate a 51% chance of at least one major hurricane making landfall on the U.S. mainland, with 26% odds for the East Coast and 33% for the Gulf Coast.