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Queensland Faces Imminent S&P Credit Downgrade

Weaker stamp duty revenue and rapidly rising debt have eroded the state's fiscal headroom and will push up its borrowing costs.

Overview

  • Multiple outlets report S&P Global is poised to cut Queensland's long‑term rating from AA+ to AA, a move the agency has not publicly confirmed.
  • A downgrade would raise the cost the state pays to borrow and add to already fast‑growing interest expenses, leaving less money available for services or forcing tougher budget choices.
  • Queensland's July budget forecasts show gross debt climbing toward and past $216 billion by 2029–30 and interest costs rising from about $6.83 billion this year to almost $11 billion by 2029–30.
  • Falling stamp duty receipts from a cooling housing market, higher bond yields and rising wage and health costs are cited as the main drivers weakening the state's finances.
  • Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers and Queensland Treasurer David Janetzki have exchanged public blame over responsibility for the deterioration while large Olympic commitments and election pledges limit immediate policy options.