Overview
- The Quaest poll released Saturday shows Dr. Daniel at 28% and Governor Hana Ghassan at 27% in a stimulated first‑round scenario with a three‑point margin of error.
- A simulated runoff in the same survey also registers a tie at 36% for each candidate with 20% undecided and 8% saying they will vote blank or null.
- Hana Ghassan’s government posts 51% approval and a mixed qualitative rating with 36% saying the administration is positive and 31% calling it regular.
- The survey interviewed 804 people aged 16 and older from August 25–28, is registered at the TSE (PA‑07718/2026), and was commissioned by TV Liberal with a reported cost of R$92,259, which limits full public replication because not all microdata were released.
- Voter concerns center on health as the top state problem and the large share of undecided voters leaves room for movement based on local issues or national alliances ahead of the October 4 election.