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Putin Rejects Stagnation Claims as Sberbank Chief Urges Deep Rate Cuts

The public split raises pressure on the central bank before its Sept. 12 rate decision.

Overview

  • Sberbank CEO German Gref said Russia’s economy is in stagnation and warned that only a cut in the key rate to about 12% would avert recession.
  • President Vladimir Putin disputed that assessment at the Eastern Economic Forum, defending tight monetary policy as necessary to curb inflation.
  • Russia’s key rate peaked at 21% in 2024 and stands at 18% after cuts in June and July, with annual inflation around 8.8% and a 4% target projected for 2026.
  • A recent central bank report included a graph indicating GDP contracted in two straight quarters, even as Putin praised the regulator’s credibility.
  • Finance Minister Anton Siluanov has flagged 2025 growth near 1.5%, while economists argue structural wartime constraints and labor shortages limit what rate cuts can achieve.