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Putin Reasserts RussiaIndiaSpecial Relations’ and Warns U.S. Off Energy Pressure at Valdai

The Kremlin portrays India’s continued intake of Russian oil as a sovereign decision that, if targeted, would raise global costs.

Overview

  • Speaking in Sochi, Vladimir Putin praised Narendra Modi as a balanced, wise leader and said Indians would not accept decisions that he framed as humiliating.
  • He argued that forcing partners like India to curb Russian energy or imposing higher tariffs would lift global prices and keep U.S. interest rates elevated.
  • Putin said India would face losses if it refused Russian supplies, with some estimates around $9–10 billion, and he cast continued purchases as enhancing India’s prestige.
  • He warned that restricting Russian energy could push oil above $100 per barrel and suggested BRICS or alternative mechanisms to resolve trade and payment frictions with New Delhi.
  • He cautioned that any U.S. supply of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine would be a major escalation implying direct American involvement, and reports say he is slated to visit India on December 5–6 for talks expected to focus on defence.