Overview

• Under a decree published Oct. 12, refineries remain eligible for state payments from Oct. 1 through May 1, 2026 even when wholesale prices exceed set caps, with new thresholds lifted to 20% for gasoline and 30% for diesel, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said.
• Official data show subsidy disbursements fell from 1.8 trillion rubles in 2024 to 716 billion rubles in the first nine months of 2025.
• The government has extended a temporary ban on petrol exports and maintained restrictions on other fuels through the end of 2025.
• BBC estimates indicate Ukrainian drones have targeted 21 of Russia’s 38 largest refineries since January, with at least 14 attacks in August, eight in September, and four in the first ten days of October as at least 10 facilities were partially or fully shut in August–September.
• At least 57 Russian regions have reported fuel supply disruptions since August, and a source in Ukraine’s Security Service said SBU-operated drones struck the Bashnafta-UNPZ refinery in Ufa on Oct. 11.