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Public Expects Trump Conviction in NYC Trial, Poll Shows

A significant majority predicts a guilty verdict for Trump in his New York business records trial, amid concerns about trial fairness.

Donald Trump sits in a Manhattan Criminal Courtroom with members of his legal team for the continuation of his hush money trial on April 25, 2024 in New York City. Former U.S. President Donald Trump faces 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in the first of his criminal cases to go to trial.
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Overview

  • 65% of Americans anticipate a guilty verdict for Trump on at least some charges related to the 2016 election interference.
  • Only 23% believe Trump will be fully exonerated, with opinions deeply divided along partisan lines.
  • Concerns about the trial's fairness prevail, with 44% deeming it unfair, largely reflecting political affiliations.
  • Recent contempt charges against Trump for violating a gag order add to the trial's high-profile nature.
  • Poll results could influence public perception of the judicial outcome and political repercussions.