Overview
- The PSPV presented the Celeste‑TEL poll on Thursday, September 17, reporting a regional survey of 1,200 telephone interviews conducted from September 3–10 with a margin of error of about ±2.9 percent.
- The poll gives seat ranges of PSPV 29–32, PP 31–34, Vox 17–19 and Compromís 16–19, producing a technical tie between left and right blocs that leaves no side guaranteed a 50‑seat majority.
- Under the published ranges, a PSPV‑Compromís combination could form a government and make Diana Morant president if vote transfers favor the left, while a PP plus Vox pact could also reach an absolute majority if their gains consolidate.
- Provincial results make Alicante the key battleground by narrowing the PP lead from 9.9 to 3.3 points there, but the same shift also shows a strong Vox rise in the province that could offset PSPV gains.
- The survey was commissioned and publicized by the PSPV for political messaging ahead of its Alicante conference, with party officials using it to mobilize voters while the poll’s ranges and methodology counsel caution in treating it as a precise prediction.