Overview

• Brazilian prosecutors asked the court to assign full-time personnel for continuous monitoring, arguing Jair Bolsonaro presents a concrete risk of flight.
• Bolsonaro has been under house arrest in Brasília since early August with an ankle monitor and seized phone after alleged breaches of communications restrictions.
• Federal police say a phone analysis shows contacts with other defendants, up to 300 shared support videos, and a 33-page draft asylum request to Argentina’s president, which the defense disputes as evidence of escape.
• A ruling is expected in September in the case that could carry a sentence of up to 40 years if he is convicted.
• Private messages and ally accounts depict internal strife within his movement and tensions over a 2026 standard-bearer, as U.S. President Donald Trump’s 50% tariffs on Brazilian goods and sanctions on the presiding judge add external pressure.