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3h ago

Prop 50 Nears Finish Line With Polls Favoring Passage as Newsom Halts Fundraising

The measure would pause California’s independent commission to use legislature-drawn maps for 2026–2030, a response to Texas’s mid‑decade redraw.

Sen. Mark Peake, a Republican from Lynchburg, speaks during a special legislative session, in Richmond, Virginia, on Wednesday.
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Canvasser Fay Eastman leaves a pro Prop 50 brochure in a screen door in Oakland, Calif. on Oct. 4, 2025. The Alameda Labor Council hosted a canvassing event in support of Proposition 50.
Demonstrators hold signs during a rally opposing redistricting at the Indiana Statehouse in Indianapolis, Indiana, on September 18.

Overview

  • Proposition 50 would suspend the voter-created redistricting commission and implement legislature-drawn congressional maps for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections before the commission resumes after the 2030 census.
  • Fresh polling shows majority support for the measure, including PPIC at 56% to 43%, CBS/YouGov at 62% to 38%, and Emerson at 57% to 37%.
  • Early voting has topped 4.7 million ballots, roughly 21% of registered voters, with returns skewing toward Democrats, according to state data and Political Data, Inc.
  • The Yes campaign has vastly out-raised opponents, with more than $100 million reported and total spending well over $200 million, and Gov. Gavin Newsom told donors to stop giving after saying goals were met.
  • Backers frame Prop 50 as a counter to Texas’s mid-decade maps and say it could flip up to five GOP-held House seats, while opponents led by Arnold Schwarzenegger and Republican groups call it a partisan power grab, with legal scrutiny and federal monitoring expected.