Overview
- Polling and early returns point to a comfortable win for Prop. 50, with recent surveys showing large margins and nearly 6 million ballots already returned.
- If approved, the legislature‑drawn map would be used for 2026–2030 and is projected to create up to five more Democratic‑leaning House seats.
- Several Republicans could face tougher reelection prospects under the new lines, including Kevin Kiley, Doug LaMalfa, Darrell Issa, Ken Calvert and David Valadao.
- Democrats mounted a late blitz with rallies featuring Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris as the Yes campaign vastly outraised opponents, roughly $97 million to $42 million.
- The fight grew out of Trump‑backed GOP remaps in Texas, with California’s vote drawing federal election monitors and serving as a potential blueprint for other blue states.