Overview
- Emerson College surveyed 900 likely voters Oct. 20–21 and found 57% support, 37% opposition and 6% undecided, with a ±3.19 percentage-point margin of error.
- Emerson’s Spencer Kimball reports notable movement among key groups, including Black voter support rising from 45% to 71% since last month.
- Proposition 50 would temporarily bypass the independent redistricting commission to adopt new congressional maps for 2026 until the 2030 cycle, framed by supporters as a response to Texas GOP mapping.
- Coverage indicates the proposed map could net Democrats up to five additional seats, potentially moving them to 48 of California’s 52 House seats as the U.S. House stands at 219–213 with three vacancies.
- High-profile supporters include Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi and Gavin Newsom, while opponents include Arnold Schwarzenegger and Rep. Doug LaMalfa, with reported contributions from George Soros and Reed Hastings backing the pro-Prop 50 effort.