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Prop 50 Holds Majority Support as Early Voting Mounts in California Redistricting Fight

The Newsom-backed measure would temporarily replace the citizen commission with a legislature map projected to put five Republican-held House seats at risk.

Overview

  • Late-October surveys from PPIC, CBS/YouGov and Emerson show voter support for Proposition 50 in the mid-to-high 50s, with opposition trailing.
  • Early voting is robust, with more than 4.8 million ballots returned statewide, roughly 21% of registered voters according to Political Data, Inc.
  • Backers reported about $114 million raised and halted further fundraising after hitting goals, while opponents have taken in roughly $11 million despite early boasts of a much larger effort.
  • Prop 50 would enact the legislature’s congressional map for 2026–2030 in place of the independent commission’s lines, reshaping several districts and making five GOP seats newly competitive.
  • Supporters cast the measure as a counter to Texas’s Trump-backed mid-decade redraw, as figures like Arnold Schwarzenegger lead opposition and other states weigh similar moves and legal fights.